Cycle Top Calls: Fear, Frustration, or Engagement Farming?

21/1/2025

The vast majority of CT is now calling for a cycle top - absolutely insane.

Not here to claim whether this is or isn't the top.

But to get one thing straight: anyone trying to be a hero and call it is likely just an engagement farmer.

Let's apply some basic critical thinking here.

What are the actual odds of CT - the majority of it - calling the cycle top at the actual cycle top? Would argue those odds are effectively 0.

Why is everyone bearish since yesterday? Just a few days ago, the market seemed primed for a move up.

Oh, I see - the narrative shifted because Trump didn't mention Bitcoin during his inauguration?

Bitcoin, which has never had any president push for it in the past, is now supposedly at its cycle top because the most influential leader in the world didn't make it his number one priority on day 1?

Can you see how ridiculous that sounds?

Read between the lines.

CT isn't allocated in Bitcoin.

Many portfolios are down, fear is kicking in, and the bearish calls are more about frustration than rational analysis.