Liquidity Conditions and Policy Changes

18/11/2024

The AE Global Liquidity Indicator remains flat at around $130 trillion, with the 3-month RoC maintaining a bullish bias.

Interestingly, while the RRP is at its low levels and the MOVE Index shows continued stabilization, last week saw a $36 billion Treasury rundown.

Could this mark the beginning of the anticipated liquidity events we talked about recently?

This suggests that despite the lack of significant upward momentum, current liquidity conditions remain supportive which, in the near term, may be a plus for assets like Bitcoin.

One development worth tracking is who Trump appoints to the position of Treasury Secretary.

The current two front-runners are Scott Bessent and Howard Lutnick. Both of these individuals have proven to be crypto-friendly. Of course, Lutnick was with Tether, which may mean his appointment could lead to quite a bit more volatility in the market, possibly more bullish movements.

The new Treasury Secretary will oversee national debt and fiscal policy, shaping the economic landscape. Replacing Janet Yellen with a Wall Street figure signals a likely shift toward market-friendly policies-a positive for Bitcoin and broader virtual currencies. Such a pivot could accelerate crypto adoption and deregulation.

The potential for aggressive market expansion under a crypto-friendly Treasury could have profound implications for digital assets that the crypto community has been looking for.